Microsoft Stock Gained Nearly 22% in July Earnings Week; Will It Rally Again This Time? Polymarket Traders Weigh In

‘s (NASDAQ:MSFT) shares ended the week of its fourth-quarter earnings report in July nearly 22% higher, but Polymarket traders are not betting on a similar move when the company reports first-quarter results on Wednesday. Polymarket Traders Expect a Smaller Move Microsoft shares climbed more than 15% the day after the July 29 report and ended that week nearly 22% higher.

50, up 3%. 50 and16% for $570.

A repeat of July’s weekly gain would put the stock at about $648. Source: Polymarket Read Also: Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?

13 it posted, according to data from Benzinga Pro. Microsoft has beaten analyst estimates for both revenue and earnings per share in more than 10 straight quarters.

The tech giant will report its results on Wednesday after the bell. Capex and AI Spending in Focus Microsoft said first-quarter capital expenditure would exceed $50 billion and kept its calendar 2026 outlook at about $175 billion, down from about $190 billion in April.

Traders on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket give 36% odds that quarterly capex tops $56 billion. Concerns about neocloud financing and big tech spending are weighing on the Magnificent Seven, and Yorkville’s Dan Ives expects that pressure to hit Microsoft and its peers ahead of earnings.

, Bloomberg reported, in a push to reshape its workforce for AI. 65 in extended trading.

98% over the past year. Benzinga Edge rankings indicate Microsoft’s stock has a Momentum score in the 88th percentile and a Growth score in the 96th percentile.

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